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Unemployment duration, job search and labour market segmentation: Evidence from urban Ethiopia
Pieter
Serneels,
University of East Anglia
ABSTRACT: Although it is a common theoretical assumption that the chances to find a job fall with time in unemployment, this is not systematically confirmed by empirical evidence, and there is no evidence for developing countries. We develop a framework that allows us to test the four major explanations why we may observe non-negative duration dependence while genuine duration dependence is negative: financial support for the
unemployed, active labour market policies, a change in the economy over time, and segmentation of the labour market into ‘good’ and ‘bad’ jobs. Using data for urban
Ethiopia we observe a constant hazard while controlling for unobserved heterogeneity, and find that labour market segmentation is the only convincing explanation.
SUGGESTED CITATION: Pieter Serneels,
"Unemployment duration, job search and labour market segmentation: Evidence from urban Ethiopia"
(June 1, 2008).
The Centre for the Study of African Economies Working Paper Series.
Working Paper 297.
http://www.bepress.com/csae/paper297
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