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Fiscal Renaissance in a Democratic South Africa
Tania
Ajam,
AFReC (Pty) Ltd, South Africa
Janine
Aron,
CSAE, University of Oxford
WPS/2007-10
ABSTRACT: South Africa has overcome adverse initial conditions to achieve a remarkable fiscal
transformation since the 1994 democratic elections, held amid uncertainty about its ability to
maintain the rule of law and resist populist spending pressures. Constitutionally-based,
durable and credible fiscal reforms have contained spending and rendered policy at all levels
of government more transparent and accountable, and more predictable through multi-year
budgeting. Extensive tax reform and more efficient tax collection has expanded revenue,
permitting lower tax rates for both individuals and companies, and personal tax relief. Fiscal
consolidation almost eliminated the budget deficit by 2005, and with improved debt
management, has created a lower and more sustainable debt burden. While highly centralised
revenue raising powers and greater decentralisation of expenditure to sub-national
governments created a vertical fiscal imbalance, a strict no-bail out approach helped control
provincial spending. The fiscal-monetary policy mix has stabilised the macro-economy and
reduced uncertainty, reflected internationally in narrowed sovereign risk spreads and
improved debt ratings. However, micro-service delivery in social expenditure has been
disappointing (in some cases due to capacity constraints rather than inadequate fiscal
allocations), and a long-term decline in infrastructure investment and capital stock is only
belatedly receiving attention. The challenge is to increase social and infrastructure
expenditure at a sustainable rate and to improve the quality of service delivery, to avoid
undermining the gains in macroeconomic stability.
SUGGESTED CITATION: Tania Ajam and Janine Aron,
" Fiscal Renaissance in a Democratic South Africa "
(June 1, 2007).
The Centre for the Study of African Economies Working Paper Series.
Working Paper 269.
http://www.bepress.com/csae/paper269
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