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Vulnerability to Poverty
Cesar
Calvo,
University of Oxford & Universidad de Piura
Stefan
Dercon,
CSAE, University of Oxford
WPS/2007-03
ABSTRACT: Standard poverty analysis makes statements about deprivation after the veil of
uncertainty has been lifted. Nonetheless, the term 'vulnerability' has been used as a
tool to remark that uncertainty and risk do matter. In this paper, we define
'vulnerability to poverty' as the magnitude of the threat of poverty, measured ex-
ante, before uncertainty is resolved. We describe the desirable properties of a
vulnerability measure as a set of axioms, and present a family of measures
satisfying our desiderata at the individual level. We also propose a family of
measures of aggregate vulnerability, a concept which has remained largely unexplored thus far.
SUGGESTED CITATION: Cesar Calvo and Stefan Dercon,
"Vulnerability to Poverty "
(March 1, 2007).
The Centre for the Study of African Economies Working Paper Series.
Working Paper 262.
http://www.bepress.com/csae/paper262
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