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The Geography of Output Volatility Adeel Malik, CSAE, University of Oxford Jonathan R.W. Temple, Department of Economics, University of Bristol WPS/2005-07 Download the Paper (PDF format) - March 17, 2005 Tell a colleague about it. Printing Tips: Select 'print as image' in the Acrobat print dialog if you have trouble printing. ABSTRACT: This paper examines the structural determinants of output volatility in developing countries, and especially the roles of geography and institutions. We investigate the volatility effects of market access, climate variability, the geographic predisposition to trade, and various measures of institutional quality. We find an especially important role for market access: remote countries are more likely to have undiversified exports and to experience greater volatility in output growth. Our results are based on Bayesian methods that allow us to address formally the problem of model uncertainty and to examine robustness across a wide range of specifications. SUGGESTED CITATION: Adeel Malik and Jonathan R.W. Temple, "The Geography of Output Volatility" (March 17, 2005). The Centre for the Study of African Economies Working Paper Series. Working Paper 241. http://www.bepress.com/csae/paper241