Crossing the Line: Direct Estimation of Cross-Border Cigarette Sales and the Effect on Tax Revenue
A BEJEAP Contributions article.
Abstract
Differences in excise taxes across jurisdictions create incentives for consumers to cross the border and to purchase in lower-tax jurisdictions. This paper introduces a discrete choice model to examine tax avoidance and state border crossing in the market for cigarettes. We exploit a rich dataset of consumer location choices and demographics to estimate a consumer's tradeoff between distance and price when choosing a location to maximize utility. Using the estimates from our location and demand models, we reconsider a recent public policy issue among states and simulate tax avoidance under alternative cigarette excise tax levels.Submitted: May 22, 2008 · Accepted: October 15, 2008 · Published: December 6, 2008
Recommended Citation
Chiou, Lesley and Muehlegger, Erich
(2008)
"Crossing the Line: Direct Estimation of Cross-Border Cigarette Sales and the Effect on Tax Revenue,"
The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy:
Vol. 8
: Iss. 1
(Contributions), Article 48.
DOI: 10.2202/1935-1682.2027
Available at: http://www.bepress.com/bejeap/vol8/iss1/art48
