Adjustment Costs and Irreversibility as Determinants of Investment: Evidence from African Manufacturing

Arne Bigsten, Göteborg University
Paul Collier, Oxford University
Stefan Dercon, Oxford University
Marcel Fafchamps, Oxford University
Bernard Gauthier, HEC Montréal
Jan Willem Gunning, Free University, Amsterdam
Remco Oostendorp, Free University, Amsterdam
Catherine Pattillo, IMF
Måns Söderbom, Oxford University
Francis Teal, Oxford University

A BEJEAP Contributions article.

Abstract

In this paper we investigate if the predictions of three different models of capital adjustment costs are consistent with the observed investment patterns among manufacturing firms in five African countries. We document a high frequency of zero investment episodes, which is consistent with both fixed adjustment costs and irreversibility and inconsistent with quadratic adjustment costs. We model the decision to invest using a dynamic discrete choice model and find evidence of irreversibility and not fixed costs. We finally model the investment rate as a function of the size of the capital disequilibrium. The results confirm that irreversibility is an important factor affecting the investment behaviour of African manufacturing firms. Some implications of this finding are discussed.

Submitted: November 5, 2003 · Accepted: October 5, 2005 · Published: October 24, 2005

Originally published in Contributions to Economic Analysis & Policy.

Recommended Citation

Bigsten, Arne; Collier, Paul; Dercon, Stefan; Fafchamps, Marcel ; Gauthier, Bernard; Gunning, Jan Willem; Oostendorp, Remco; Pattillo, Catherine; Söderbom, Måns; and Teal, Francis (2005) "Adjustment Costs and Irreversibility as Determinants of Investment: Evidence from African Manufacturing," Contributions to Economic Analysis & Policy: Vol. 4 : Iss. 1, Article 12.
Available at: http://www.bepress.com/bejeap/contributions/vol4/iss1/art12

 
 
 
 

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