Testing the Economic Model of Crime:The National Hockey League's Two-Referee Experiment

Steven D. Levitt, University of Chicago Department of Economics

A BEJEAP Contributions article.

Abstract

During the 1998-99 season, the National Hockey League randomly varied the number of referees used across games, seemingly providing a rare opportunity to test directly the deterrence model. Combining experimental parameter estimates with an economic model, there is little evidence that the rate of offending changed substantially with the addition of a second referee. The reason, however, appears to be that the second referee had little impact on the probability of punishment. As a consequence, the experiment ultimately turns out to be of limited use for testing deterrence.

Submitted: August 10, 2001 · Accepted: October 12, 2001 · Published: January 24, 2002

Originally published in Contributions to Economic Analysis & Policy.

Recommended Citation

Levitt, Steven D. (2002) "Testing the Economic Model of Crime:The National Hockey League's Two-Referee Experiment," Contributions to Economic Analysis & Policy: Vol. 1 : Iss. 1, Article 2.
Available at: http://www.bepress.com/bejeap/contributions/vol1/iss1/art2

 
 
 
 

ISSN: 1935-1682 ©1999-2008 The Berkeley Electronic Press™ All rights reserved.

To submit, subscribe, recommend this journal to your library, or sign up for email alerts, please visit: http://www.bepress.com/bejeap